Heard
On The Hill
LEOFF
1 Surplus?
Fact or Fiction?
Technically
speaking the LEOFF 1 pension system valuation is $ 5 billion
dollars. What has NOT been said is, this is an actuarial valuation
which has nothing to do with the reality of the day.
1.
First of all, this "surplus" figure of over a
billion dollars comes from the 2001 Combined Actuarial
Valuation of Dec.2002. This means that the figure being
tossed around is 16 months old!
2. This "surplus" is
based on actuarial assumptions that are in statute . .
.
Remember those-saying that the rate of return will be 8% etc. The LEOFF 1 system
has suffered losses for the past few years and that is why the state went to
four year averaging instead of three.
Assuming
that the future experience of the plan meets ballpark assumptions,
(and ignoring the difference between market and actuarial
value of assets). In our humble opinion - we made a pie
in the sky assumption about rate of return and if it ever
happens again there will be a surplus. Right now the MARKET
VALUE OF THE LEOFF 1 FUND IS JUST OVER FOUR BILLION AND
THERE IS A DEFECT - The assets in the LEOFF 1 portion of
the CTF fund is no where near the value stated in a recent
letter published by the LEOFF 1.net web site.
The
claim that there is over a "billion dollar surplus" in
the current LEOFF 1 Retirement system is just not so!